Is There an Increased Risk of Kidney Failure with Long-term Use of NSAIDS?

Clinical Question

See title above.

Clinical Bottom Lines

  1. There appears to be an increased risk of end-stage renal disease with chronic use of high doses of NSAIDS and moderate to high doses of Acetaminophen.
  2. There appears to be a protective effect with long-term use of aspirin on the development of ESRD.

See Comments below

The Evidence

Intake Odds Ratio (95% CI)
Acetaminophen NSAIDS Aspirin
Moderate 1.4 (0.8 - 2.4) 0.8 (0.4 - 1.5) 0.8 (0.5 - 1.3)
High 2.1 (1.1 - 3.7) 1.0 (0.5 - 2.0) 1.1 (0.7 - 1.9)
Mod. Cumulative 2.0 (1.3 - 3.2) 0.6 (0.3 - 1.1) 0.5 (0.3 - 0.7)
High Cumulative 2.4 (1.2 - 4.8) 8.8 (1.1 - 71.8) 1.0 (0.6 - 1.8)

Comments

  1. This was a case-controlled study, and its validity is somewhat challenged due to:
  2. Despite these flaws in validity, the statistical analysis was rigorous.
  3. In addition to the above table, adjustment were also made for other possible confounding factors:
  4. After adjusting for these, no significant changes were apparent from the above listed Odds Ratios.
  5. In terms of Number Needed to Harm, 1/42 patients for high cumulative doses of acetaminophen, 1/52 patients for high cumulative doses for NSAIDS; In terms of Number Needed to Treat, 1/17 patients treated with high cumulative doses of aspirin was associated with a protective effect.
  6. Overall, however, the confidence intervals around the OR's for the high cumulative dose groups were quite wide, with the lower limits close to 1.0. The precision here is low, and this interview recommends taking these results with a "grain of salt."

APPRAISED BY: Patrick Sousa, MD

DATE: November 1995

Perneger TV, et al. Risk of Kidney Failure with the Use of Acetaminophen, Aspirin, and Nonsteroidal Antiinflammatory Drugs. NEJM 1994;331:1675-1679.